artificial intelligence may already be plateauing
progress may be more incremental … while resource use continues to boom.
by rick richardson
according to a recent story from the information, openai’s next-generation orion model of chatgpt, which is both rumored and denied to be arriving before the end of the year, might not be everything that has been hailed when it does.
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according to the report, which quotes unnamed openai staff, the orion model has shown a “far smaller” improvement over its predecessor, gpt-4, than gpt-4 did over gpt-3. according to the same individuals, orion “isn’t reliably better than its predecessor (gpt-4) in handling certain tasks,” particularly coding applications, even though the new model is noticeably better at general language functions like creating emails or summarizing documents.
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